机灵的杰尼君
机灵的杰尼君
Trader who has crossed bulls and bears for 8 years, is good at mainstream BTC and other mainstreams, X:@Meta8Mate
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I wonder how many people are still using Lobster @openclaw /AI now?
Jieni has been working intensely with Lobster for 2 months and is a bit tired.
Previously, I basically used over 60% of the 20×MAX quota every week,
with four accounts combined reaching about 300%,
fixed monthly expenses over $1,200 (including one GPT PRO).
Rotating among four VPS servers in Singapore, Melbourne, Seoul, and Sydney.
In the past few weeks, the total usage over 7 days has just barely exceeded 30%,
not even a fraction of what it was before.
Current output:
Two websites: JN-VC and JIE-NI;
A bunch of tools: support and resistance levels, K-line carving, demon coin radar, etc.;
Strategies/auto trading: Strategy B & Strategy D & demon coin radar;
Research reports: daily morning report + macro analysis + daily tweet materials, etc.
Built everything from scratch until now,
basically all desired functions are up and running.
Taking a break, giving the system a rest.
If anyone has any tools or needs,
feel free to leave a message and Jieni will create them and open them for free to everyone~!🫡

Vitalik @VitalikButerin still got triggered?
The long article is packed with information, here are the key points for you:
① EF (Ethereum Foundation, hereafter EF) @ethereumfndn will focus on doing small and refined work — no longer acting as the "Ethereum center," only doing things others won’t do;
② Reduce selling ETH — "long-term survival is more important than casting a wide net";
③ Not competing with Solana on speed — "250ms latency and 1M TPS is not the path Ethereum should take";
④ ETH is Ethereum’s most valuable "product";
⑤ Vitalik himself has 90% of his net worth in ETH.
To translate:
People used to criticize EF for saying one thing and doing another, preaching decentralization but actually running a bureaucratic organization.
Now Vitalik’s message is:
Fine, EF won’t be the center anymore, will downsize, sell fewer coins, and only handle censorship resistance and privacy — the "dirty work" others don’t want to do.
In one sentence:
What the "Eastern Depot" dares not manage, EF will;
Who the "Eastern Depot" dares not kill, EF will kill,
Act first, report later, Vitalik’s special permission!
The problem is,
$ETH has dropped to $2,000, and you’re talking about this? 🫠

vitalik.eth
Some of my perspective on where the @ethereumfndn is going.
First of all, this is only my own view. The board is not just me, and I have no extra special powers on the board that the other board members do not. @aerugoettinea is the one executing much of this transition. My input has been largely on technical questions. The board is in the process of expanding, and my own power within the org will continue to decrease, which is honestly what I want.
The 2025 era brought many important improvements to EF and its ability to execute. Many issues were resolved, and EF continues to benefit from its improved efficiency and greater focus on concrete goals to this day. And so with those problems resolved, early this year, the largest remaining hole that I perceived was something different nagging at me: I would regularly spot people saying things like "vitalik says these beautiful things about ethereum needing to be decentralized, and have privacy, and be a sanctuary technology, but why do the EF's actions not reflect that?"
Now, you may have been hearing something different. You may not have been sensing a feeling of crisis at all, and maybe were hearing people saying that finally we were taking execution and BD seriously and the main task for us is to keep going that way and be even better and faster. Then probably there is genuine difference between you and me, in what kinds of criticism I take most seriously, and what kinds of critics through their criticism are most able to make me feel pain.
As an analogy, let's briefly switch over to a different domain.
One belief you can have about Google is that it is a success story, and has brought a lot of good to humanity in organizing the world's information. Another belief you can have about Google is that they had a beautiful idealistic beginning, but at some point the corruption of mainstream corporate attitudes seeped in, and they slowly bit by bit completely abandoned the "don't be evil" slogan.
My belief on Google specifically is probably somewhere between the two. BUT, if you had taken me back in time to ~2008, and offered me a button to press to make Google one or two standard deviations more "dogmatic", eg. give Richard Stallman permanent veto power over some key policies, I would immediately press it.
Why? Because a choice for one company is not a choice for the world, or even one country. Google existed and exists in the context of a technology industry generally drifting away from early idealistic don't-be-evil roots and toward greed for financial gain, totalizing visions of accelerated superintelligence, infiltration by sociopaths, and craven capitulation to (or worse, active participation in) government pressure for ideological control, surveillance and war. And so *one company* doing something different, positioning itself to be what George Bernard Shaw calls the Unreasonable Man, resisting the trend of the times, would have been better for freedom, balance of power and stability of society as a whole, than *all* large companies bending to dominant trends. This is a part of my version of pluralism.
This line of thinking is not just mine, but I also is not too far off from what Aya and others had in mind with the Mandate.
Now how does this all get to the role of the EF?
EF is not a "center of Ethereum", rather EF is "one node, with a defined purpose, alongside other nodes". We've always said that the EF should be the latter, but many in the Ethereum ecosystem (and even within the EF) wanted us to be the former. Now, we are taking action to ensure that we will be the latter.
This is particularly important because EF is a limited organization, with limited resources and limited organizational capacity. The EF has only ~0.16% of all ETH (less than many other individual ETH holders), whereas among other blockchains it's common for "the central foundation" to have 10-50%. Fiscally, the EF was originally designed to fulfill a limited work scope defined in the token sale docs and other pre-launch materials (building the chain software; getting through Frontier, Homestead, Metropolis, Serenity), which was fully completed in 2022; it was not designed to be an eternal steward.
And so today, the EF is choosing to use its remaining resources to pursue longevity over breadth (yes, this means we sell less ETH). The EF focuses *specifically* on those activities critical to the success of ethereum as a censorship/capture-resistant, open, private and secure system, that would not happen otherwise. This means making hard choices, and in some cases even activities that we highly approve of and people that we highly respect becoming outside of the EF. People of great technical talent, public respect and even alignment with the mission and CROPS being outside of the EF is in fact necessary if we want important tasks to be able to attract outside capital. This also means the EF taking opinionated stands culturally.
This is all intended in cooperation with all other parts of ethereum. We recognize that many other parts of the ethereum world highly respect CROPS and related values. But highly respecting is not the same as choosing to specialize and totally dedicate to a domain (Compare in a different domain: I think reducing animal cruelty is important, and I like vegan food, but am not full unconditional vegan myself)
EF is still in a transition period, and we expect its new long-term form to stabilize over the next few months. What are the guiding principles of this new form? Again, I am only one person, but I can give my answer from a technical perspective (there are also critical non-technical aspects).
At the core, *Ethereum must be impressive*. We are living in an age of highly intelligent AI and all kinds of other technological acceleration. "Status quo EVM, with a hard fork or two a year to optimize for short-term needs of users" is not interesting.
To some, "impressive" means: 250ms latency and 1M TPS. I think Ethereum trying to go that route is a mistake. Being as fast and as scalable as possible, and only a small epsilon more decentralized than the others, is a route to mediocrity, and if we try it we will lose.
I think Ethereum should scale. But I think Ethereum should strive the hardest to be deeply impressive in a different dimension: the CROPS dimension. This means things like:
* Provably bug-free Ethereum. This is a goal that all cybersecurity researchers would have thought is absurd and impossible, up until roughly 6 months ago. Now, it's on the cusp of being possible, thanks to AI-assisted formal verification. So we should be frontrunners in doing this.
* Available chain consensus. Ethereum is, and with lean consensus will cotninue to be, the ONLY chain that has both (i) traditional-BFT style properties that it's safe under asynchrony up to a high level of fault tolerance, and (ii) the bitcoin PoW-style property that under synchrony it's safe up to 49% attackers. As far as I can tell, literally no other chain has this or is planning for it; bitcoin goes for (ii) only and most other chains go for (i) only. Some will remember I fought hard for this, Unreasonably insisting that it is not OK for ethereum to rely on social consensus and hard forks to rescue ethereum from 34% of nodes going offline. It's OK for chains like hyperledger, bnb, solana, tempo, etc. It's not OK for bitcoin or ethereum or eg. zcash.
* Intermediary minimization. The fact that smart contract wallets, protocols like railgun, etc have to send transactions through intermediaries to get included onchain is honestly embarrassing, and it's a constant point of fragility. Hence the work on FOCIL and EIP-8141 (and 7701 and years of work before) to make transaction sending intermediary-minimized with public mempool and strong inclusion properties, in a truly general-purpose way, that covers not just eg. secp256r1, but also privacy protocols and much more. Kohaku is pushing intermediary minimization at the user layer, pulling Ethereum away from the dystopian status quo world where our wallets don't even verify the chain, send our private data out to a dozen third-party servers, and toward a brighter CROPS future.
Some of these goals are Unreasonable - maybe Ethereum would be "fine" getting only 50% of the way - what if we depend on intermediaries, but make it easy to switch? But going 50% of the way would not make Ethereum Deeply Impressive in the CROPS way. So we push for 100%.
Fortunately all these goals are compatible with high TPS, this is a major focus of research (esp. on scaling the state). Well-designed L2s can also help, especially L2s optimized for specific applications (eg. high-volume trading, privacy...). These goals are even compatible with significantly lower slot times, thanks to Raul's work on erasure-coded P2P, and many other optimizations.
The most high-value "product" of the ethereum blockchain, financially speaking, is ETH the asset. Ethereum secures $250 billion of ETH. The types of properties of Ethereum that I mentioned above are very good for ETH the asset. Nearly 90% of my net worth is in ETH, and most of the remainder is ~$40m of onchain fiat of which every dollar has already been allocated for some open-source biotech or software or hardware initiative. That said, there are aspects of supporting ETH the asset - *necessary* aspects even - that are outside the scope of the EF. This is where we need other heroes (some of whom hold more ETH than the EF does) to step in and help. EF has been recently thinking more about how it will relate to other such organizations, and give them needed initial support.
EF will be a smaller ship than in previous years, a more opinionated one - in some cases more opinionated in ways that might be difficult to comprehend - but a longer-lasting one, and one suited to making sure that ethereum brings something meaningful to the world. We are grateful to all those inside and outside the EF who are helping to make this happen.
Haven't looked at CEX and DEX data for a long time, just checked it out, a bit confused,
Binance @binance current OI (open interest): $25.76B,
Hyperliquid @HyperliquidX: $9.19B,
OKX @okx: $7.04B,
Aster @Aster_DEX: $2.03B,
According to CoinGecko @coingecko data:
Perp DEX's OI market share surged from 3.6% at the beginning of 2025 to 13.5% at the beginning of 2026,
nearly quadrupling in one year,
with Hyperliquid taking the lion's share.
If this growth continues in the future,
then the position of CEXs will definitely be shaken.
Here comes the question:
Will CZ @cz_binance take action? How will he act?
You know what I'm going to say @Aster_DEX. 🥹

Unconsciously, the CMC altcoin season index has risen to 38.
Although it's still some distance from the official altcoin season (above 75),
the direction has changed; it's no longer purely a BTC season.
There's a clear sense that there are more 'monster coins' recently.
Since JN's monster coin detector went online,
many alert coins have surged over 50%.
Recently, it's clearly not a broad altcoin season but selective rotation.
It's still good to pre-select some monster coins for observation.
Everyone is welcome to go to
JN188 dot AI
for free use~
Friendly reminder:
The monster coin radar is a signal filter; please combine with actual technical analysis before placing orders.

The tech world is brewing the biggest IPO wave in history,
SpaceX is valued at 1.75 trillion,
OpenAI is valued at 852 billion,
Anthropic is valued at 900 billion,
All three are going public.
On Polymarket, SpaceX's first-day closing valuation exceeded 2 trillion, with a 60% probability,
Various Pre-IPO valuations of SpaceX are also around 2.4 trillion.
Does it feel like it's a bit prematurely priced in?
At this time, China is clearing out Tiger, and Futu seems to have good intentions,
To prevent everyone from being taken advantage of~!~🫣

Yesterday: CBS revealed that Trump was preparing to take action against Iran.
Today: FT reports that the US and Iran are close to agreeing on a 60-day ceasefire extension.
A 180-degree plot twist within 24 hours,
The crypto community is already PTSD from Trump.
Key details:
Iran proposes to keep uranium enrichment below 3.6% for 10 years,
in exchange for the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz + sanctions exemptions + unfreezing of overseas assets.
The nuclear issue is put on hold, to be discussed again after 30 days.
Rubio's exact words: "There may be news in the coming days."
How many people still believe Trump's lies now? 🤡

I really don't know what Tom is thinking,
It seems @BitMNR has bought another 60,000 $ETH, worth about $125 million.
The good news is BMNR earns nearly $300 million annually from $ETH staking rewards,
so it won't become the next Luna for now.
However, the price of $ETH is falling instead of rising,
once again fighting the $2,000 defense battle.
I don't understand it, but I'm deeply shocked.

OKX's Pizza Day merchandise has arrived,
Opening the gift box feels like traveling back to that summer 16 years ago when 10,000 $BTC were spent on two pizzas.
10,000 BTC, at today's price, is 1.1 billion dollars,
the most expensive two pizzas in human history.
But then again,
maybe without that transaction back then, BTC might still just be a bubble today.
Thanks to @okxchinese for the merchandise,
Happy Pizza Day everyone! 🍕
#OKXPizzaDay

OKX中文
🍕 On 2010.5.22, someone bought two pizzas with 10,000 BTC. At that time, no one knew this pizza would be written into history.
16 years later, OKX is giving pizzas to those in the industry who deserve to be remembered, and to you who have been with us all along.
Today, it's not about luck, it's about speed! Use the hashtag OKXPizzaDay, retweet this post, and click the Twitter link below to join OKX Agent Pizza Day. 200 pizza vouchers + 50 pizza festival gift boxes are available on a first-come, first-served basis.
Do you know why $ETH has been so weak recently?
The ETH/BTC exchange rate has hit a recent low,
about to face the $2000 defense battle again,
so what is the founder, little V @VitalikButerin, up to?
World computer? NO!
World pile driver? YES!

As $BTC was resisted at $82K and pulled back to around $77K,
Jieni's latest "Carving the Sword on the Boat" data is here again.
Based on the past 10 daily candles, predicting the next 10 daily candles,
the historical probability of an increase is 60%, with an average return of -1.07%.
So... it went up, but it kind of didn’t? 🤣

机灵的杰尼君
Recently, $BTC has clearly struggled to rise,
so let's use Jenny's "Carving the Boat to Seek the Sword" tool
to check the possible trend for the next 20 4-hour candles.
Currently, the historical probability of an increase is 40%, with an average return of 1.04%.
It seems $BTC might be reaching a short-term top,
as the $82K resistance at the EMA 200 has been tested multiple times without success,
so it's best to respect the primary trend.
Friendly reminder: a low long position ≠ shorting.
