预言家毛毛

Should small capital go all-in in the crypto space? Small capital should not go all-in; rational investing leads to long-term success In the cryptocurrency market, many people hold the mindset of "small capital might as well go all-in for a big win," betting their entire assets on a single coin, hoping for overnight riches. However, this all-or-nothing behavior is like blindly sailing in a stormy sea, often ending in disaster. For investors with small capital, going all-in is far from wise; only rational investing and steady progress can help one stand firm amid the waves of the crypto world. Going all-in is essentially gambling, while investing requires rationality. The crypto market is highly volatile and unpredictable; even experienced investors find it difficult to forecast trends accurately. Betting all your funds is like leaving your fate to luck. A sudden crash could wipe out everything. As investment legend Warren Buffett said, "The first rule of investing is not to lose money; the second rule is not to forget the first." Small capital inherently lacks risk resistance, and blindly going all-in only accelerates self-destruction. History shows countless investors falling into the abyss due to going all-in, such as the Luna crash that instantly wiped out many high-leverage investors—a painful lesson warning us that a gambling mindset only leads to disaster. Small capital should focus more on risk management, accumulating small wins into big victories. Investing is a marathon, not a sprint. Small investors should create reasonable asset allocation plans and diversify investments to reduce risk. For example, allocate funds to mainstream coins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and promising quality projects, while keeping some cash reserved for buying opportunities during market dips. Additionally, setting stop-loss and take-profit points is crucial; timely stop-losses prevent deep losses, and taking profits secures gains. Gradually accumulating wealth through small wins is far safer than going all-in. Enhancing knowledge is the fundamental path for small capital to turn the tide. The crypto space is full of opportunities but also traps. Only by continuous learning and improving understanding of blockchain technology and project value can one distinguish quality projects and avoid being exploited. Stay updated on industry trends, study project whitepapers, understand their business models and technical logic, rather than blindly following hype. At the same time, maintain a respectful attitude—neither greedy nor fearful, and avoid being swept up by FOMO emotions—to stand firm in the market. Small capital should not be an excuse to go all-in but the starting point for rational investing. In this market full of temptations and risks, only by abandoning a gambling mindset, focusing on risk management, and continuously improving knowledge can one seize opportunities amid volatility and achieve steady wealth growth. Remember: getting rich slowly is the truth. Let us sail with rationality as our sail and knowledge as our rudder, navigating toward the horizon in the sea of crypto. $BTC $ETH $LAB

$ETH I'm laying it out straight today: Ethereum is in a solid downtrend right now, and any rebound is just an opportunity to short and make money. If you dare to jump in and buy the dip with a hot head, you won't be able to sleep for three days because you'll definitely be losing money. Keep an eye on these two 30-minute charts; from the high of 2404, it dropped sharply down to 2263, losing almost 140 points in a single day, trapping all the retail investors who chased the breakout at the peak. Now, this little rebound can't even hold the 2300 level, with the current price at 2295 being firmly pressed down by the EMA20 moving average. It can't even touch the super trend line at 2313, and the SAR profit-taking point is stuck at 2309. Above, from 2350 to 2400, there are countless trapped positions waiting to break even and escape; every point up has numerous people ready to sell. Look at the volume: when it drops, the trading volume is massive, but during the rebound, the volume shrinks to almost nothing, clearly indicating that there is no new capital coming in to take over. The main force has already sold out, showing no intention of supporting the price. This is the most typical continuation of a downtrend. If you don't short now, wait until it breaks the low of 2263 and accelerates downwards; by then, you won't even be able to catch a hot soup. Let me say something you might not want to hear: from a metaphysical perspective, the bulls have had no chance from the start. The main force deliberately chose to push it up to the high of 2404 on the afternoon before the weekend of the 27th, clearly calculating that retail investors would be greedy and gamble on good news over the weekend. They specifically picked this time to lure in the breakout chasers, only to turn around and dump the price, showing they had no good intentions from the beginning. Looking at these numbers, the high of 2404 sounds like "you will definitely die" in Chinese, clearly sending you a signal to escape, but you insist on rushing in. The low of 2263 means "two people lose out"; if two people go in to buy the dip, both will lose when leaving. Even the current price of 2295 is a signal of a deadlock where "two people will lose." Not to mention, in the larger cycle, the 7-day, 90-day, and 180-day charts are all showing green downtrends, with only a small red line on the 30-day chart painting a false picture. The overall trend is downward, and relying on this small cycle's rebound won't create any waves. And that high of 2404 is just 4 points above the 2400 level, specifically designed to trick those retail investors who rely on technical breakouts, sweeping out all the stop-loss orders and then crashing the price. We've seen too many of these numerical traps; whenever this kind of trend appears, it leads to a mess, and the bulls have no chance to turn things around. Let me give you a more relatable analogy: Ethereum's current state is like a person who just had a heart attack coming out of the emergency room. It looks like there's a heartbeat, but all the blood vessels are completely blocked, and it could have serious problems at any moment. Previously, when it rose from around 2200 to 2400, it was like a physically exhausted person trying to run a marathon, relying solely on a single obsession to keep going. It looked promising, but internally it had already run out of steam. As soon as it hit 2404, it couldn't catch its breath and had a heart attack right there, with a big bearish candle breaking through all the support levels, like blocking all the blood vessels. The current rebound is just a temporary heartbeat after resuscitation; the K-line shows ups and downs, but it hasn't regained any vitality. The short-term moving averages are all in a bearish arrangement, with the EMA5 not even able to hold above the EMA10, like a person who can't even stand up, relying on a ventilator to stay alive. If you jump in to buy now, it's like giving a heart attack patient a big nourishing soup; not only will it not save them, but you'll also lose all your capital. This kind of trend will lead to a slow decline, like a person with a chronic illness gradually draining your capital. By the time you realize what's happening, you'll be trapped and unable to cut your losses. I know many of you will disagree and argue with me, saying that Ethereum's spot ETF has seen net inflows for three consecutive weeks, or that Ethereum is a mainstream coin that can't drop. But let me ask you this: if they really wanted to push the market up, would the main force give you such a cheap price of 2295 to comfortably buy the dip? If they really wanted to rise, would they trap all the people who chased the high at 2400 at the peak, giving them no chance to break even? The main force has never been a philanthropist; it won't carry retail investors on its back. It wants to cut off those of you who are holding onto a lucky mindset and buying the dip. If you don't believe me, let's make a bet: if anyone dares to go long with a heavy position now and doesn't lose more than 20 points within three days, I won't believe it. Right now, shorting means you're picking up money on the main force's side, while going long means you're just handing money to the main force as a bag holder. Don't wait until you've lost half your capital and are trapped before regretting not listening to me; by then, it will be too late to cry.

From Assembly Line Screw Worker to God of Crypto Shorts $BTC $ETH $DOGE My name is Chen Mo, born in 1995 in a poor village in Zhoukou, Henan. After graduating from middle school, I took the 3,000 yuan my grandfather left me and went to Shenzhen. I worked at Foxconn screwing for three years, standing 12 hours a day, with calluses on my fingers thicker than coins. I once thought this was my life until the summer of 2017, when I saw a video of someone turning 10,000 yuan into 200,000 yuan trading crypto in three months—a lightning bolt that shattered my bleak life. I took all the 80,000 yuan I had saved over three years and threw it into crypto, blindly going all-in on altcoins without knowing anything. In one month, 80,000 yuan became 300,000 yuan. I quit my job, rented a single room in a city village, thinking I was the next Buffett. Then the '94 incident' happened; overnight, 300,000 yuan dropped to 30,000 yuan. Gambling on impulse, I added 10x leverage to try to recover, but I blew up again, ending up penniless and owing 50,000 yuan on credit cards. The landlord kicked me out; I slept under a bridge, collecting bottles to survive. Several times I stood on the Shenzhen Bay Bridge wanting to jump, but I was unwilling to give up. I used my last yuan to buy a steamed bun, found an all-night spot at an internet cafe, stopped trading, and started studying intensely. I read "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" ten times, printed out every Bitcoin candlestick chart and analyzed them one by one. For six months, I ate only one meal a day and slept four hours, finally realizing the truth of crypto: there is no value investing, only manipulation by the big players; rallies need countless reasons, but drops only need the big players to sell. I set an iron rule: only short, never long. At the end of 2018, Bitcoin fell to $3,000, and everyone was shouting it would go to zero. I borrowed 10,000 yuan from a coworker, shorted with 20x leverage, and closed the position when Bitcoin dropped to $2,500. Ten thousand yuan became 120,000 yuan. I didn’t rush to trade but lurked like a hunter, waiting for a year and a half. On Black Thursday, March 12, 2020, the global market crashed, and Bitcoin dropped 50% in one day. While the whole network panicked and sold off, I shorted Bitcoin at $4,000 with 30x leverage. The leverage-induced cascade triggered a chain of crashes; Bitcoin bottomed at $3,100, and I closed at $3,500, turning 120,000 yuan into 1.8 million yuan. What truly made me legendary was May 19, 2021. Bitcoin surged to $65,000, and even market vendors were talking about crypto—I knew it had peaked. I shorted fully at $64,000 with 50x leverage. That night, Bitcoin plunged $10,000 in ten minutes, causing 60 billion yuan in liquidations across the network. I closed at $35,000, making 120 million yuan overnight. I didn’t splurge; I still lived in a city village and ate 10-yuan boxed meals. But in 2022, I suffered a major setback. Overconfident before the FTX collapse, I shorted with 100x leverage at full position. Bitcoin stopped falling and rebounded at $15,000, and I blew up, losing over 100 million yuan down to less than 2 million. I locked myself away for a month and finally understood: the biggest enemy in trading isn’t the market, but one’s own greed and arrogance. I restarted, no longer chasing high leverage, only trading what I understood. In 2024, Bitcoin rose to $70,000, and everyone was shouting to $200,000. I shorted in batches and closed at $50,000, making 300 million yuan. Now I have my own trading team and fund, but I still watch the market myself every day. Many call me a genius, the god of shorts, but I know I’m just more resilient, more patient, and more understanding of human nature than others. There is no overnight fortune in crypto, only survivors who have beaten the odds. Ten years ago, I was screwing bolts on an assembly line; ten years later, I became a big shot in others’ stories. But I will always remember the days sleeping under bridges and eating steamed buns. In this crazy market, only by surviving is there hope. #加息重回讨论桌：美债利率逼近19年高点 #SpaceX递交招股书：首次披露BTC持仓 #英伟达完美财报：市场为何不买账

Crypto Genius $ETH $BSB After being in the crypto world for so long, I finally understood a truth: A so-called crypto genius is never someone who predicts market ups and downs perfectly, but rather a wise person who survives by going with the flow. 90% of people in the market spend their whole lives fighting against the trend. They get scared of heights and guess the top when prices rise a bit, afraid of buying at the peak; they panic and cut losses when prices drop a little, fearing deeper traps. They constantly obsess over price points, trade based on emotions, envy others’ profits, chase pumps and dumps, fight against the trend, hold heavy positions stubbornly, turning trading into a gamble of luck, ending up losing repeatedly and stuck in place. True genius traders take the exact opposite path. They never guess tops or bottoms, never oppose big money. They don’t reach out to markets they don’t understand, never enter without confirmed trends, and never exit early once the main uptrend starts. Compared to dazzling short-term trades, they better discern the market’s essence: old coins endure consolidation, new coins follow trends. Why are old coins hard to profit from? Because they carry years of accumulated trapped positions, hiding countless retail investors’ losses. Every rally is accompanied by massive sell pressure from those unlocking losses, making it extremely hard for funds to push prices up. Even slight fluctuations cause sharp drops, making progress painfully slow. Recently, strong new coins like EDEN, PROVE, 2Z, BEAT perfectly illustrate the genius stock-picking logic. Their bottoms are thoroughly washed out, clearing all weak retail chips, leaving no heavy historical pressure on the chart, with clean and transparent chip structures. Once funds gather and trends establish, it’s a straightforward one-way main rally—no frequent spikes or washouts, no endless sell pressure dragging it down, smooth rises and stable trends. Many mistakenly think genius relies on courage, luck, or precise predictions. Actually, no. Genius wins through three things: cognition, mindset, and discipline. Cognitively, they distinguish strength and weakness, understand chip distribution, see through capital flows, only trade high-certainty setups, and abandon all ambiguous gambles. Mentally, they don’t greedily chase short-term profits, don’t fear high prices, aren’t swayed by market noise or retail panic, always respect trends and honor capital. Disciplinarily, they follow the trend, avoid going against it, keep light positions, don’t overcommit without stop-losses, never go all-in on a single bet, always leaving themselves an exit. The market’s biggest irony is: Ordinary people treat trading like gambling, always dreaming of overnight riches, only to be repeatedly harvested by the market; Geniuses treat trading like a practice, steadily riding main uptrends, slowly accumulating compound returns, eventually achieving exponential growth. I’ve seen too many people lose money by trading frequently in weak markets and hesitate to enter strong markets. Always fighting against the trend at the wrong time, doubting themselves in the right trend. True crypto talent is never about winning every battle. It’s about not losing money beyond your understanding and not profiting from luck. Understand chip structure, follow the main uptrend, control greed and fear, and stick to trading discipline. You don’t need to beat the market; you only need to beat your emotional self. Those who go with the trend become kings; those who keep discipline end up profitable. This is the ultimate truth of crypto genius. $BTC #加息重回讨论桌：美债利率逼近19年高点 #SpaceX递交招股书：首次披露BTC持仓 #英伟达完美财报：市场为何不买账

$EDEN I'm putting it firmly on the line: 0.13879 is the absolute ceiling that EDEN will never touch again in its lifetime. I've already gone all in short at 0.126. I'll stay up all night waiting for the main players to trigger a vertical waterfall drop, burying all the bulls who chased the highs in this final frenzy. Don't get blinded by this dazzling 44.93% surge; this is not a primary uptrend at all. It's a death trap designed by the main players after wiping out all the shorts, tailor-made to unload their positions. Just look at that glaring long upper shadow candle—the moment the price hit 0.13879, it was smashed through by massive sell orders and didn't hold for even a second. This is the textbook tombstone doji top, no exceptions. Even scarier, the 30-minute MACD has already formed a death cross early, with the green bars continuously expanding. The price is struggling sideways halfway up the slope, but the indicator has already plunged ahead. Once this level of bearish divergence confirms, what follows is an uncontested free fall. An air coin with no real application, surging 200% in three days. All the positive news is fabricated by the main players to trick retail investors into taking the bag. Everyone brave enough to short has already been flushed out; what's left are bulls dumbfounded by FOMO. The main players hold all the low-cost profit positions and can dump however they want without any need to support the price. That recent rebound had no real buying support—just retail investors bottom-fishing and catching falling knives. The main players used the rebound perfectly to offload their last chips to you. Current price 0.12619, go all in short, set stop loss at 0.14. As long as it doesn't break this fake high, we're winning big. First target is $0.10, second target straight down to $0.08, ultimate target retesting the $0.046 launch level. Remember, hype around new coins is always a mess. When everyone is shouting to rush in and double up, that's the best time for us to secretly short and make big money. $EDEN

$PROVE Today I was completely shocked by PROVE's price movement. After a long period of sideways consolidation at the bottom, with the lowest dip to an extreme freezing point of 0.2170, washing out all the weak hands, it ushered in an epic violent surge. A 24-hour rally of 39.67%, with the intraday high reaching 0.3626, and the current price at 0.3228; the new coin's popularity shot straight to 12th place on the leaderboard, with a single-day trading volume as high as 118 million USDT, massive funds frantically accumulating, and bullish sentiment completely igniting the market. The strong pattern on the 30-minute chart remains intact: The SuperTrend core strong support is locked at 0.3105, with the current price running close to the trendline; MA5, MA10, and MA20 moving averages are all bullish and rising, forming a strong layered bottom support; Even after a slight pullback following the surge, volume remains high, and the strength of the support is still in place. Right now, most people's mindset is highly consistent: with such a big rise, it must be about to crash, so they dare not enter and just want to wait for a dump to short. But you must understand the core difference between new coins and old coins: Old coins have massive historical trapped positions piled on top; every rise is accompanied by heavy selling pressure from those unlocking positions, plus the psychological fear from long-term declines, so any slight disturbance triggers a frantic dump; PROVE, after an extremely deep bottom washout, has almost no heavy historical trapped pressure above, with an extremely clean chip structure. Once the trend forms, the upward momentum far exceeds that of old coins. It's like a brand-new top-tier store just opening, hitting peak popularity right from the start; once the heat rises, it’s hard to cool down quickly in the short term. The biggest trap in the market is trying to guess the top subjectively during an absolutely strong main upward wave. Until the trend truly breaks down, counter-trend operations always carry the greatest risk. Finally, a reminder again: no matter how crazy the market gets, never go all-in with high leverage. As long as the price does not effectively break below the 0.3105 trend lifeline, this bullish run still has potential to continue rising. Never fight the trend; going with the flow is the safest survival rule in this market. $PROVE

$BEAT I'm putting it out there: 0.7620 is the iron ceiling that BEAT will never touch again in its lifetime. I've already gone all in with short positions at 0.73. I'll be staying up all night watching the market, waiting for the main players to smash it down with a guillotine cut, burying all the bulls who chased the highs in this final frenzy. Don't be fooled by this glaring 22.86% surge; this is not the start of a major uptrend. This is the main players liquidating all the shorts and then turning around to harvest the bulls in one last final meal. Just look at that glaring long upper shadow candle—the moment the price hit 0.7620, it was slammed down immediately, not even holding for half a second, accompanied by massive sell orders. This is ironclad proof that the main players are unloading at any cost. Everyone who chased in just now is now firmly trapped at the peak. A new coin with no real fundamentals, surging 30% in two days, all the positive news is just fabricated by the main players to trick retail investors into taking the bag. Now, all the shorts in the market have been cleaned out, leaving only bulls blinded by FOMO. The main players can smash it however they want, with no decent resistance at all. A clear bearish divergence signal has appeared on the 30-minute chart: the price made a new high but the MACD momentum can't keep up, and the red bars have started to shorten. This is a sign of an impending drop, and next will be an accelerated plunge. Current price 0.729, go all in short, set stop loss at 0.765. As long as it doesn't break this fake high, we're guaranteed to win. First target is $0.65, second target is $0.60, ultimate target is to retest the $0.55 launch level. Remember, the hype around new coins always comes fast and goes even faster. When everyone is shouting to go long, that's when we quietly short and make big money. $BEAT

$HYPE Let's talk about the current HYPE. This wave of movement has really exceeded most people's expectations. Starting from the bottom at 44.20, it has surged unilaterally upward with almost no significant deep pullbacks. The 24-hour increase directly hit over 17%, with an intraday high reaching 62.17, and it still firmly holds above 60; in the past day, short positions were liquidated for a total of 33.91 million USD, wiping out countless shorting chips. From the 30-minute timeframe perspective, the moving averages are perfectly aligned bullishly, short-term support levels are rising step by step, and the price has been running entirely within an ascending trend channel. Every pullback is quickly recovered, showing strong capital absorption. The MACD red bars continue to extend, volume is simultaneously expanding, and the bulls completely dominate the market. Many people now hesitate to act at these high levels, always feeling a big plunge is imminent, expecting a pump-and-dump. But it’s important to understand that new coins and old coins are fundamentally different: old coins carry heavy historical trapped positions, so even a slight rise triggers massive profit-taking and dumping; whereas HYPE currently has a clean chip structure with no heavy historical resistance above, making the upward move face minimal resistance. The most dangerous thing now is to subjectively bet against the trend by trying to guess the top. In an absolutely strong trend, shorting is always the riskiest choice. As long as the trend lifeline at 57.75 is not broken, this rally still has plenty of room to continue. One last reminder: no matter how strong the market is, never go all-in with high leverage. Follow the trend, keep positions light, and maintain your rhythm—this is far more sustainable and stable than gambling everything. Trends don’t announce their tops; respect the current strength and leave the rest to the market. $HYPE

$BILLUSDT BILL has completely entered an unrestrained crash mode, with a 24-hour plunge of 24.59% just being the appetizer. This is not a normal correction; it's a free fall after a major liquidation by the main force. Anyone trying to bottom-fish now will be directly smashed into the eighteenth level of hell, leaving not even a bone fragment behind. Look at the 30-minute chart's guillotine cutting down from 0.16582 with no decent rebound in between. All moving averages are collectively diving downward at a 45-degree angle, forming the most terrifying death bearish alignment. MA5 is firmly pressed at 0.07487, and the current price can't even stand above this short-term moving average, indicating the bulls are completely dead, without a shred of resistance left. The SUPERTREND indicator turned red long ago at 0.08324, which has become an ironclad resistance level that you will never touch again in this lifetime. Although the MACD green bars have slightly shortened, this is just a technical breather after the plunge, not a reversal signal. Any slight rebound will be followed by even bigger sell-offs. Even more frightening is the volume: massive sell-offs with huge volume during the drop, but pitifully low volume during rebounds. This shows the main players have long fled, leaving only trapped retail investors and bag holders in the market. Any slight price increase will trigger countless sell orders, making it impossible to rise. The 24-hour trading volume of 150 million is all retail investors stepping on each other, with no big money willing to enter and catch the falling knife. Once this market starts falling, there is no bottom. Don't even think about bottom-fishing now; bottom-fishing is catching a flying knife. The only correct move now is to blindly short. Short directly at the current price of 0.074, add to the short position if it rebounds to 0.075, and set a unified stop loss at 0.078. The first target is the intraday low of 0.0735. If this level is effectively broken, the next target is 0.07, and in extreme cases, it could go down to 0.06. Just go for it; the bears have a big feast coming. $BILLUSDT

$HYPE First, let's look at the core current market situation: HYPE is currently quoted at 57.24, with a single-day increase of 11.31%. The 24-hour high reached 59.23, the low retraced to 49.49, and the total daily trading volume exceeded 1.087 billion USDT, with heat directly maxed out. At the same time, large-scale staking by Grayscale-associated addresses continues, providing sustained fundamental support. 30-minute level trend breakdown: 1. The overall trend is fully bullish, with the price steadily rising relying on the SUPERTREND trend band; trend support is at 56.12. 2. Short-term moving averages MA20 (57.19), MA5, and MA10 are all aligned bullishly; the current price is closely hugging the moving averages, confirming a strong pullback. 3. The MACD indicator has slightly turned down, which is a normal profit-taking after a sharp rise and has not completely deteriorated. 4. Volume remains high, with strong absorption strength; bullish sentiment is still present. Current trading strategy: Long positions: Continue holding low-position long orders; the first defense level is lowered to 56.10, which is the trendline support. If it holds, maintain positions aiming for the previous high of 59.23. A breakout opens space for new highs. If the support breaks, reduce positions to avoid drawdown. Short positions: Do not actively short at the top. Given the scale of heat and positive fundamentals, counter-trend shorting carries great risk. Only at the strong resistance zone above 59 can small short positions be tried, with stop loss set above 59.5. Wait-and-see / Entry strategy: A pullback to the 56.0-56.3 range is a stable low-buy opportunity, with a unified stop loss below 55.3. The upper target is first 59; if broken, expect continuation to higher levels. Key points to note: This is a newly popular coin with extremely volatile fluctuations. Strictly control position size, avoid heavy bets, never go all-in, and always set stop losses to participate rationally. $HYPE

$XAU The 30-minute chart for gold is very clear now; it is currently a short-term bearish pullback, so don't try to catch the bottom recklessly. The latest price is 4519.2, down slightly by 0.27% in 24 hours. Although the decline seems small, the intraday volatility is actually 96.8 points, dropping from a high of 4571.7 to a low of 4474.9. Those who chased the highs are now deeply trapped. Fortunately, gold has sufficient liquidity, with a 24-hour trading volume of 281 million USDT, making slippage negligible and entry and exit convenient. Technically, no need to beat around the bush: the price has broken below the MA5, MA10, and MA20 moving averages. The SUPERTREND indicator forms strong resistance at 4553.3. The MACD shows a bearish crossover downward, with the green bars continuing to expand, indicating that the bearish momentum is far from exhausted. The recent rebound didn't even reach MA10 before being slammed down, showing heavy selling pressure above. For those holding short positions, the first take-profit target is the 4500 psychological level. If broken, you can continue holding and watch the 4480-4475 range. Move your stop loss up above 4540 to guard against sudden news-driven spikes. If you want to enter short, wait for a rebound to the 4530-4535 range to build a light position. Set your stop loss at 4555; if broken, exit immediately without hesitation. If you want to go long, I advise you to wait. 4500 is not a strong bottom. All short-term indicators currently point to bearish. Bottom-fishing against the trend is just looking for a trap. If you really want to go long, wait for a 30-minute MACD golden cross and for the price to stabilize above MA20 (4529) before cautiously entering with a light position. Set a strict stop loss at 4490. Finally, here are some iron rules you must follow: 1. Gold is highly volatile; position size should not exceed 5% of total capital, and leverage should not exceed 20x. 2. Always use stop losses; don’t hold losing positions. A single large bullish or bearish candle can cause liquidation. 3. There are likely to be large fluctuations during early morning Fed-related speeches; try to avoid holding positions through news events. The long-term trend for gold is still bullish, but the short term has entered a correction phase. Follow the trend to make money; don’t fight the market. $XAU

#加息重回讨论桌: U.S. Treasury yields are approaching a 19-year high $NVDA When the 5.2% 30-year Treasury yield hung over global capital markets like a sword of Damocles tempered in ice, with almost all risk assets trembling and retreating step by step, one sector managed to carve out a bloody path and carved out an independent rally that ignored the broader market—that was AI. This is definitely not a flash in the pan of an oversold rebound, nor is it a speculative sentiment driven by retail investors. This is a life-or-death battle forged by Wall Street's top whales with hundreds of billions of dollars, the ultimate showdown between industrial capital and speculative short sellers, and the only gold main line that can withstand liquidity crushing and truly possess hard strength during the high interest rate winter. While all the funds were searching for safe havens, they finally realized that the only thing that could counter the Fed's rate hikes was the speed of human technological progress. NVIDIA is the lone warrior on the throne in this AI war. Many people are still saying "when all the good news is exhausted, it's bad," waiting for Nvidia to catch up on the drop, but they simply don't understand the current market situation. According to the latest institutional holding data, the average short position cost for Nvidia is firmly below $900. Now, for every $1 increase, the entire bear camp loses an additional $100 million. Right now, they're not short selling—they're holding on, betting their lives are longer than the bulls. On the bull side, holding massive low-volume chips and frighteningly thick profit margins, supported by a steady stream of computing power orders and outrageously explosive performance. Nvidia has now entered the most terrifying short squeeze phase; every bullish candlestick is driving a nail into the bears' coffin. As long as the bears don't give up for a day, this rally will not end. Let me talk about my own orders: I opened a half-position on Nvidia at 920, and my stop-loss was fixed firmly at 880. If it broke, I would immediately cut losses and leave, never arguing with the market. First, take profit at 1020. When it arrives, sell half to secure it, and hold the remaining light positions. I want to see how long these hard-held shorts can hold out. If NVIDIA is the anchor, then ARM is the sharpest emotional blade in the entire AI sector. ARM's rise logic is the most interesting and also the most inhumane. The higher you think it has risen, the more expensive it seems, and the more you dare to rush in to short it, the fiercer it rises. Those relentless short sellers are not selling stocks; they are giving free fuel to the bulls, helping to drive the stock price higher. Currently, on the ARM market, every pullback attracts countless funds rushing to buy in, and every new high attracts more bears to enter, forming a perfect upward cycle. As long as it doesn't experience a deep pullback of more than 10% in a single day, the market's bullish sentiment won't collapse, and short-term funds will keep rallying around it. I lightly followed ARM at the 145 level. This kind of sentiment is not suitable for heavy positions or long-term holding. Set your stop-loss at 138, take profit at 160, buy and exit quickly, just make some sentiment money, don't be greedy. As for AMD, it is the safest backline player in this AI feast. It doesn't have the dominance of Nvidia, nor the explosive power of ARM. It rises slowly, steadily, unobtrusively, yet it is the most reassuring. It won't make you rich overnight, nor will it blow up your position overnight. It's like an old scalper, steadily moving upward, gradually turning the AI computing power industry dividend into stock price increases. For those who dare not chase the leading stocks but don't want to miss this AI rally, AMD is the best choice and the most certain chance to catch up. AMD I opened a bottom position at 180, stop-loss at 172, take-profit at 195. Just hold onto it—no need to watch the market every day, don't chase rises and sell lows, wait for the wind, wait for rotation, wait for the market to shift its focus away from the leaders, and it will naturally give you the rewards it deserves. The overall landscape of the AI sector is now as clear as it could be: Nvidia dominates the main battlefield of bullish and bearish battles, with short liquidations fueling its rise; ARM has taken up the emotional banner of the entire market, attracting the attention of all short-term hot money; AMD is steadily advancing, acting as the strongest backing and waiting to catch the most reliable rotation catch-up rally. I've been struggling in this market for eight years, witnessing countless so-called bubble bursts and too many so-called value returns. But I have never seen any industrial revolution that truly changes the world halt progress just because of a single Fed rate hike, or a slight fluctuation in interest rates. AI is not a topic or concept; it is the biggest variable in human society over the next ten or even twenty years. In this high interest rate winter, only truly hardcore growth can withstand the cold winds of liquidity; Only stocks heavily invested by institutions and firmly backed by industry trends can emerge from a main bull and bear rally. How far do you think this AI rally can ultimately go? Are you holding Nvidia, ARM, or AMD? Share your position and costs in the comments, and let's discuss together. $NVDA #加息重回讨论桌: U.S. Treasury yields are approaching a 19-year high